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Digital Archive International History Declassified

November 12, 1986

CIPHERED TELEGRAM NO. 342, EMBASSY OF HUNGARY IN INDIA TO THE HUNGARIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY

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    Information from a Soviet diplomat who states that the Soviet Union expects India to become a nuclear power soon and anticipates negative consequences for nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament.
    "Ciphered Telegram No. 342, Embassy of Hungary in India to the Hungarian Foreign Ministry," November 12, 1986, History and Public Policy Program Digital Archive, Hungarian National Archives (Magyar Országos Levéltár, MOL). XIX-J-1-j India, 1986, 65. doboz, 60-4, 002134/3/1986. Obtained and translated for NPIHP by Balazs Szalontai. https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/111958
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A Soviet diplomat said that according to their evaluation, it is nearly inevitable that India will become a nuclear power in the near future, Soviet efforts notwithstanding. The main negative consequences of such a development would be as follows:

1.) The edifice of nuclear non-proliferation will collapse, many pro-Western countries – including Pakistan, Israel, and South Africa – will openly take the path of nuclear armament. The danger of local nuclear conflicts will increase.

2.) A new anti-Soviet campaign will unfold, claiming that India became a nuclear power with Soviet support.

3.) The process of nuclear disarmament will become even more complicated.

– 342 – O. –