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Digital Archive International History Declassified

September, 1985

MEMORANDUM, US NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL, NIC M 85-10001, 'THE DYNAMICS OF NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION: BALANCE OF INCENTIVES AND CONSTRAINTS'

This document was made possible with support from the Leon Levy Foundation, Carnegie Corporation

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    The most recent CREST release included this analysis of “The Dynamics of Nuclear Proliferation: Balance of Incentives and Constraints.” The analyst sought to explain why “no additional overt proliferation of nuclear weapons has actually occurred” since the Chinese nuclear test, India had not weaponized while Israel and South Africa had not “taken any action to signal overt possession of nuclear weapons.”
    "Memorandum, US National Intelligence Council, NIC M 85-10001, 'The Dynamics of Nuclear Proliferation: Balance of Incentives and Constraints'," September, 1985, History and Public Policy Program Digital Archive, CREST. Obtained and contributed by William Burr for NPIHP Research Update No. 25. https://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/119220

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Document summary

The most recent CREST release included this analysis of “The Dynamics of Nuclear Proliferation: Balance of Incentives and Constraints.” The analyst sought to explain why “no additional overt proliferation of nuclear weapons has actually occurred” since the Chinese nuclear test, India had not weaponized while Israel and South Africa had not “taken any action to signal overt possession of nuclear weapons.”

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Source

  • CREST. Obtained and contributed by William Burr for NPIHP Research Update No. 25.

Type

  • Memorandum

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  • NPIHP - The Nuclear Proliferation International History Project welcomes reuse of Digital Archive materials for research and educational purposes. Some documents may be subject to copyright, which is retained by the rights holders in accordance with US and international copyright laws. To enquire about this document's rights status or request permission for commercial use, please contact the Nuclear Proliferation International History Project at NPIHP@wilsoncenter.org.

Record ID

  • 119220

Classification

  • Secret

Donors

  • Leon Levy Foundation
  • Carnegie Corporation