This National Intelligence Estimate concludes that "the Government of the Republic of China continues to exercise firm political control on Taiwan. With US assistance, an expanding economy has been maintained and the strength of the armed forces has been increased. At the same time, however, the international position of the National Government has declined, causing an increased feeling of insecurity and concern for the future."
April 9, 1957
Special National Intelligence Estimate Number 43-57, 'Likelihood of Military Action by the Government of the Republic of China'
This document was made possible with support from Chun & Jane Chiu Family Foundation
Analysts at the CIA conclude that "the Chinese Nationalists are very unlikely to launch an invasion or, in the absence of Chinese Communist provocation, to initiate ether major military action against the mainland in the next year or so."
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