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Digital Archive International History Declassified

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  • June, 1972

    A. Ross Johnson and Arnold L. Horelick, 'Communist Political Succession'

    This 1972 RAND Report, prepared for the Department of State, describes possible alternative domestic and international “futures” and presents a framework for formation of U.S. policy toward post-Tito Yugoslavia. It includes appendices assessing Yugoslav developments and reviewing the history of U.S.-Yugoslav relations.

  • February, 1977

    A. Ross Johnson with the assistance of Jeanette A. Koch, 'The Yugoslav Military Elite' [Approved for Release, February 6, 2019]

    This 1977 RAND Report, prepared for the Office of Political Analysis, Central Intelligence Agency, analyses the evolution of the leadership of the Yugoslav People’s Army between 1945 and 1976. It combines statistical biographic analysis of the transformation of the Yugoslav military elite with qualitative historical analysis. It includes appendices on data sources, the ethnic and regional composition of Yugoslavia, career characteristics of the military elite, and opinion polls of the Yugoslav military.

  • October, 1980

    A. Ross Johnson, with the assistance of Alexander R. Alexiev, 'The Yugoslav Military Elite: An Update' [Approved for Release, February 6, 2019]

    This 1980 RAND Report, prepared for the Office of Political Analysis, Central Intelligence Agency, updates the 1977 RAND Report on the Yugoslav military elite.

  • May, 1983

    A. Ross Johnson, 'Political Leadership in Yugoslavia; Evolution of the League of Communists' [Approved for Release, February 6, 2019]

    This May 1983 RAND Report examines the dynamics of political leadership and prospects for leadership stability in post-Tito Yugoslavia. It analyzes the evolution of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia (LCY) since the late 1960s and the enhanced role of its constituent republican and provincial LCY organizations. It traces the devolution of power within the LCY that resulted in decentralized leadership authority and decision-making based on interregional consensus. It recommends shifting appraisals of the Yugoslav leadership from the federal to the republican/provincial level. (An abridged classified version of this Report was issued in November 1983, and two declassified releases of the abridged version are referenced as Related Documents.)

  • November, 1983

    A. Ross Johnson, 'Political Leadership in Yugoslavia: Evolution of the League of Communists' [Abridged Version; Declassified March 6, 2003]

    This November 1983 RAND Report examines the dynamics of political leadership and prospects for leadership stability in post-Tito Yugoslavia. It analyzes the evolution of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia (LCY) since the late 1960s and the enhanced role of its constituent republican and provincial LCY organizations. It traces the devolution of power within the LCY that resulted in decentralized leadership authority and decision-making based on interregional consensus. It recommends shifting appraisals of the Yugoslav leadership from the federal to the republican/provincial level. (The full May 2013 version of the Report and a second declassified release of the abridged version are referenced as Related Documents.)

  • November, 1983

    A. Ross Johnson, 'Political Leadership in Yugoslavia: Evolution of the League of Communists' [Abridged Version; Approved for Release, February 6, 2019]

    This November 1983 RAND Report examines the dynamics of political leadership and prospects for leadership stability in post-Tito Yugoslavia. It analyzes the evolution of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia (LCY) since the late 1960s and the enhanced role of its constituent republican and provincial LCY organizations. It traces the devolution of power within the LCY that resulted in decentralized leadership authority and decision-making based on interregional consensus. It recommends shifting appraisals of the Yugoslav leadership from the federal to the republican/provincial level. (The full May 2013 version of the Report and a first declassified release of the abridged version are referenced as Related Documents.)