The Swiss Ambassador, Hans Keller, discusses Chinese-Soviet relations, political and cultural tensions due to China's Cultural Revolution, and other detailed observations about life and current events in a political report. 

With a nuclear nonproliferation treaty under consideration in Washington, INR considered which countries were likely to sign on and why or why not. INR analysts, mistakenly as it turned out, believed it unlikely that the Soviet Union would be a co-sponsor of a treaty in part because of the “international climate” and also because Moscow and Washington differed on whether a treaty would recognize a “group capability.”

This estimate updated an estimate (NIE-4-2-64) published in 1964 of the nuclear proliferation problem. That estimate, like this one, overestimated the likelihood of an Indian bomb, while somewhat underestimating Israel’s program. This assessment followed the same pattern—predicting India would produce a weapon within a “few years” and also putting Israel in the “might” category, although treating it as a “serious contender” nonetheless. Also following a short discussion of the “snowball effect” (later known as “proliferation cascades” or “chains”) suggesting that the United Arab Republic (Egypt-Syria) and Pakistan were likely to take the nuclear option should India or Israel go nuclear.

Feng Xuan reported to the Foreign Ministry on the release of 76 Chinese students from the US and the American invitation to a meeting on the expatriate question.

Discussion on organizational problems with South Korean students in western countries, who intend to live in North Korea, and about German reunifcation.