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Documents

September 1999

National Intelligence Estimate: China-Taiwan: Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations

This NIE discusses how relations between China and Taiwan will develop in the three year period from 2000 until 2002.

September 1999

National Intelligence Estimate: China-Taiwan: Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations

This NIE discusses how relations between China and Taiwan will develop in the three year period from 2000 until 2002.

October 5, 1989

Memorandum from J. Stapleton Roy to Brent Scowcroft, H. Lawrence Sandall, and George P. Cole, Jr., 'Taiwan Guidelines'

J. Stapleton Roy offers a prime on US policy toward Taiwan and how US government agencies should interact with Taiwan's Coordination Council for North American Affairs or with other Taiwanese authorities.

January 18, 1986

Cable from AIT Taipei to the AIT Washington, DC, 'Full Transcription of CODEL Hatch's Press Conference in Taipei'

The American Institute in Taiwan reports on the visit of a 16-member Congressional delegation led by Senator Orrin Hatch.

November 1982

National Intelligence Council Memorandum, 'China and Taiwan: Attitudes, Policies, and Options'

The United States' interests in its relationships with China and Taiwan would be best served if Beijing and Taipei could reach some form of accommodation or association that would permit the two parts of China to coexist peacefully. The worst outcome would be a military confrontation that forced the United States to choose whether to provide .assistance to Taiwan or to allow it to be overwhelmed by superior Chinese force. Trends over the past four years have moved fitfully toward an eventual accommodation, and they probably will continue in this direction.

May 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'China-Taiwan: Strategies for Reunification: An Intelligence Assessment'

The Central Intelligence Agency assesses that Chinese leaders do not believe that they can achieve reunification in the near future, but that they remain determined to erode US support for Taiwan and want to draw Washington into a more direct role in promoting negotiations.

April 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan-United States: Addressing the Trade Imbalance: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA assesses that Taiwan's long-running trade surplus with the United States will continue, despite small efforts on Taipei's part.

March 4, 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Thoughts on Chiang's [Chiang Yen-shih's] Removal'

The CIA evaluates the short-term and long-term implications of the removal of Chiang Yen-shih as KMT Secretary-General.

June 28, 1974

Central Intelligence Agency, Weekly Review Special Report, 'Nationalist China Revisited'

A CIA memorandum evaluating the domestic politics and international relations of Taiwan in 1974. 

This version of "Nationalist China Revisited" was declassified by the CIA on September 25, 1999. An alternate version was declassified on September 28, 2004. The release from 1999 includes fewer redactions than the version declassified five-years later.

June 28, 1974

Central Intelligence Agency, Weekly Review Special Report, 'Nationalist China Revisited'

A CIA memorandum evaluating the domestic politics and international relations of Taiwan in 1974. 

This version of "Nationalist China Revisited" was declassified by the CIA on September 28, 2004. An alternate version was declassified on September 25, 1999. The release from 1999 includes fewer redactions than the version declassified five-years later.

Pagination