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Chiang, Ching-kuo (Jiang Jingguo) Clear All

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Documents

August 27, 1957	Special National Intelligence Estimate Number 43-2-57, 'The Prospects of the Government of the Republic of China' Analysts at the CIA write that "the National Government remains politically stable and the economy of Taiwan continues gradually to improve. The military establishment is growing stronger, but Nationalist forces alone could not defend their territories against a full-scale Chinese Communist attack."
October 9, 1956	National Intelligence Estimate Number 43-56, 'The Prospects of the Government of the Republic of China' This National Intelligence Estimate concludes that "the Government of the Republic of China continues to exercise firm political control on Taiwan. With US assistance, an expanding economy has been maintained and the strength of the armed forces has been increased. At the same time, however, the international position of the National Government has declined, causing an increased feeling of insecurity and concern for the future."
January 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'The Political Succession on Taiwan: An Intelligence Assessment' The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis concludes that "Chiang Ching-kuo is likely to be succeeded by a collegial, technocratic leadership governing in a somewhat less authoritarian style. The immediate succession will be dominated by a collegium of older mainlanders and is expected to go smoothly. Differences within this group over internal or foreign policy issues are unlikely to trigger a major power struggle." This document has been review and declassified by the Central Intelligence Agency on at least two separate occasions. The above version was approved for release on January 20, 2010. An alternative version, with different material withheld, was approved for release on May 12, 2011.
June 3, 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Maneuvering for the Succession' The CIA assesses rumors of an impending government reorganization on Taiwan in light of President Chiang Ching-kuo's declining health.
July 1986	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Looking Toward December Elections: An Intelligence Assessment' A report on Kuomintang efforts for the upcoming national election in Taiwan and the individuals surrounding Chiang Ching-kuo.
December 18, 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan's Provincial Elections: Clearing the Way for Change' A CIA assessment on the likely political and personnel outcomes of the Kuomintang's recent electoral victories.
January 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'The Political Succession on Taiwan: An Intelligence Assessment' The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis concludes that "Chiang Ching-kuo is likely to be succeeded by a collegial, technocratic leadership governing in a somewhat less authoritarian style. The immediate succession will be dominated by a collegium of older mainlanders and is expected to go smoothly. Differences within this group over internal or foreign policy issues are unlikely to trigger a major power struggle." This document has been review and declassified by the Central Intelligence Agency on at least two separate occasions. The above version was approved for release on May 12, 2011. An alternative version, with different material withheld, was approved for release on January 20, 2010.
March 22, 1984	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan's Succession Politics and the Recent Kuomintang Plenum' Analysts at the CIA explore Chiang Chiang-kuo's designation of Lee Teng-hui as Vice President and other political changes in Taiwan, as well as Beijing's reaction to those changes and the implications for the United States.
January 1984	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Political Evolution on Taiwan: Implications for the United States: An Intelligence Assessment' Analysts at the CIA write that US support for Taiwan will remain important to the island's political stability and economic growth.
November 1982	National Intelligence Council Memorandum, 'China and Taiwan: Attitudes, Policies, and Options' The United States' interests in its relationships with China and Taiwan would be best served if Beijing and Taipei could reach some form of accommodation or association that would permit the two parts of China to coexist peacefully. The worst outcome would be a military confrontation that forced the United States to choose whether to provide .assistance to Taiwan or to allow it to be overwhelmed by superior Chinese force. Trends over the past four years have moved fitfully toward an eventual accommodation, and they probably will continue in this direction.