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Documents

November 1982

National Intelligence Council Memorandum, 'China and Taiwan: Attitudes, Policies, and Options'

The United States' interests in its relationships with China and Taiwan would be best served if Beijing and Taipei could reach some form of accommodation or association that would permit the two parts of China to coexist peacefully. The worst outcome would be a military confrontation that forced the United States to choose whether to provide .assistance to Taiwan or to allow it to be overwhelmed by superior Chinese force. Trends over the past four years have moved fitfully toward an eventual accommodation, and they probably will continue in this direction.

May 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'China-Taiwan: Strategies for Reunification: An Intelligence Assessment'

The Central Intelligence Agency assesses that Chinese leaders do not believe that they can achieve reunification in the near future, but that they remain determined to erode US support for Taiwan and want to draw Washington into a more direct role in promoting negotiations.

April 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan-United States: Addressing the Trade Imbalance: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA assesses that Taiwan's long-running trade surplus with the United States will continue, despite small efforts on Taipei's part.

March 4, 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Thoughts on Chiang's [Chiang Yen-shih's] Removal'

The CIA evaluates the short-term and long-term implications of the removal of Chiang Yen-shih as KMT Secretary-General.

June 28, 1974

Central Intelligence Agency, Weekly Review Special Report, 'Nationalist China Revisited'

A CIA memorandum evaluating the domestic politics and international relations of Taiwan in 1974. 

This version of "Nationalist China Revisited" was declassified by the CIA on September 25, 1999. An alternate version was declassified on September 28, 2004. The release from 1999 includes fewer redactions than the version declassified five-years later.

June 28, 1974

Central Intelligence Agency, Weekly Review Special Report, 'Nationalist China Revisited'

A CIA memorandum evaluating the domestic politics and international relations of Taiwan in 1974. 

This version of "Nationalist China Revisited" was declassified by the CIA on September 28, 2004. An alternate version was declassified on September 25, 1999. The release from 1999 includes fewer redactions than the version declassified five-years later.

February 10, 1972

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Intelligence Memorandum: Prospects for Stability on Taiwan'

A CIA memo on domestic politics in Taiwan, including the relationship between mainlanders and Taiwanese locals.

March 26, 1980

Memorandum by the China Policy Support Center, 'Further Chinese Statements on Taiwan's Membership in the INF'

A memo outlining the PRC position on Taiwan's participation in the International Monetary Fund. The memo concludes that "China is unlikely to withdraw its stated demand that Taiwan be expelled from the IMF."

June 7, 1983

Memorandum of Meeting: Discussion Between PRC Representative and AIT/Taipei Director

The Chinese Ambassador, Ji Chaozhu, discusses developments on Taiwan with David Laux and James Lilley. Topics of conversation include the health of Chiang Ching-kuo, other leading Taiwanese politicians, cross-strait relations, Taiwan's economic development, US arms sales to Taiwan, and Taiwanese history.

September 1982

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan after Chiang Ching-kuo: A Speculative Analysis: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis evaluates possible successors to Chiang Ching-kuo and the implications of potential new leaders for Taiwan, the United States, and China.

Pagination