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United States. Central Intelligence Agency

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Portrait of Mao Zedong on Tiananmen Gate in Beijing, China, 1972.

East Asia

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North America

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Presidential Office Building of Taiwan

East Asia

Taiwan

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Eastern Europe

Soviet Union

George H.W. Bush and Lech Walesa

CIA Reports on the Collapse of Communism in Europe

Mikhail Gorbachev, 1986

Gorbachev, Mikhail Sergeevich

1931- 2022

Deng Xiaoping, 1979.

Deng, Xiaoping

1904- 1997

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Southeast Asia

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Sino-American Cooperation, 1972-1989

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Yeltsin, Boris

1931- 2007

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Eastern Europe

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Reagan, Ronald

1911- 2004

Hu Yaobang, 1986

Hu, Yaobang

1915- 1989

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Cambodian-Vietnamese War, 1977-1991

Representatives from Taiwan at the United Nations, September 1971

Taiwan's International Status

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Documents

August 27, 1957	Special National Intelligence Estimate Number 43-2-57, 'The Prospects of the Government of the Republic of China' Analysts at the CIA write that "the National Government remains politically stable and the economy of Taiwan continues gradually to improve. The military establishment is growing stronger, but Nationalist forces alone could not defend their territories against a full-scale Chinese Communist attack."
January 1985	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'The Political Succession on Taiwan: An Intelligence Assessment' The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis concludes that "Chiang Ching-kuo is likely to be succeeded by a collegial, technocratic leadership governing in a somewhat less authoritarian style. The immediate succession will be dominated by a collegium of older mainlanders and is expected to go smoothly. Differences within this group over internal or foreign policy issues are unlikely to trigger a major power struggle." This document has been review and declassified by the Central Intelligence Agency on at least two separate occasions. The above version was approved for release on January 20, 2010. An alternative version, with different material withheld, was approved for release on May 12, 2011.
April 1984	Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Briefing Material for the President's Trip to China' Includes memoranda on "China's Independent Foreign Policy in Perspective," "The Foreign Policy Positions of China's Senior Leaders," "Deng-Zhao with Brzezinski--An Assessment," "Sino-Soviet Relations," "China and a Korean Dialogue," "Sino-Soviet Trade and Economic Relations," "China and Japan: Building for the Long Haul," "China's Taiwan Policy," "China-Southeast Asia," "China: Leadership and Succession," "China: Economic Reforms," "US-China Economic Relations," "China: Expanding Market for US Energy Firms," "China: Nuclear Power Prospects," and "China: Changes in Military Industrial Development Policy-Implications for the United States."
March 26, 1980	Memorandum by the China Policy Support Center, 'Further Chinese Statements on Taiwan's Membership in the INF' A memo outlining the PRC position on Taiwan's participation in the International Monetary Fund. The memo concludes that "China is unlikely to withdraw its stated demand that Taiwan be expelled from the IMF."
September 7, 1982	Memorandum from the National Intelligence Officer for East Asia for the Director of Central Intelligence, 'Talking Points for Your Meetings with Secretary's Shultz and Weinberger' The National Intelligence Officer for East Asia briefs the Director of Central Intelligence on China and Taiwan policy for an upcoming meeting with the secretaries of state and defense.
March 27, 1981	Central Intelligence Agency, National Foreign Assessment Center, 'Deng Xiaoping and the Taiwan Question' The CIA evaluates Deng Xiaoping's views on Taiwan and how we will likely calibrate PRC policy toward the island.
June 1981	Central Intelligence Agency, National Foreign Assessment Center, 'China's Views of Relations with the New US Administration: An Intelligence Assessment' A CIA assessment of Chinese views of the United States and areas of both alignment and divergence with US policy and interests.
June 2, 1990	National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 2 June 1990 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for Saturday, 2 June describes the latest developments in USSR, Liberia, Israel, EC, Angola, Taiwan-China and West Africa.
June 29, 1990	National Intelligence Daily for Friday, 29 June 1990 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for Friday, 29 June describes the latest developments in USSR, India, Liberia, China, Indonesia, Germany and Japan.
June 27, 1990	National Intelligence Daily for Wednesday, 27 June 1990 The CIA’s National Intelligence Daily for 27 June 1990 describes the latest developments in the Soviet Union, Poland, Bulgaria, the European Community, Zambia, Iran and China.