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Documents

March 16, 1955

National Intelligence Estimate Number 100-4-55, 'Communist Capabilities and Intentions with Respect to the Offshore Islands and Taiwan through 1955, and Communist and Non-Communist Reactions with Respect to the Defense of Taiwan'

The CIA on whether the PRC has the ability to seize Taiwan and/or the offshore islands.

April 9, 1957

Special National Intelligence Estimate Number 43-57, 'Likelihood of Military Action by the Government of the Republic of China'

Analysts at the CIA conclude that "the Chinese Nationalists are very unlikely to launch an invasion or, in the absence of Chinese Communist provocation, to initiate ether major military action against the mainland in the next year or so."

September 1999

National Intelligence Estimate: China-Taiwan: Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations

This NIE discusses how relations between China and Taiwan will develop in the three year period from 2000 until 2002.

September 1999

National Intelligence Estimate: China-Taiwan: Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations

This NIE discusses how relations between China and Taiwan will develop in the three year period from 2000 until 2002.

January 7, 1982

Memorandum for the Vice President et al, 'National Security Planning Group Meeting'

William P. Clark, an aide to President Reagan, announces that a meeting on aircraft sales to Taiwan will be held soon. The memorandum includes a copy of the NSPG Options Paper, 'Issues for Decision: What Type of Replacement Aircraft to Provide to Taiwan'. The options paper outlines the background and legislative, intelligence, military, political, and diplomatic implications of new aircraft sales to Taiwan.

November 11, 1982

Central Intelligence Agency, 'The Military Situation in the Taiwan Strait: Taiwan's Options and Needs: Interagency Intelligence Memorandum'

Although the majority of the document was not declassified, the summary of the report highlights the military strategies of China and Taiwan vis-a-vis one another and US involvement between the two sides.