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Documents

January 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'The Political Succession on Taiwan: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis concludes that "Chiang Ching-kuo is likely to be succeeded by a collegial, technocratic leadership governing in a somewhat less authoritarian style. The immediate succession will be dominated by a collegium of older mainlanders and is expected to go smoothly. Differences within this group over internal or foreign policy issues are unlikely to trigger a major power struggle."

This document has been review and declassified by the Central Intelligence Agency on at least two separate occasions. The above version was approved for release on January 20, 2010. An alternative version, with different material withheld, was approved for release on May 12, 2011.

June 3, 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Maneuvering for the Succession'

The CIA assesses rumors of an impending government reorganization on Taiwan in light of President Chiang Ching-kuo's declining health.

July 1986

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Looking Toward December Elections: An Intelligence Assessment'

A report on Kuomintang efforts for the upcoming national election in Taiwan and the individuals surrounding Chiang Ching-kuo.

December 18, 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan's Provincial Elections: Clearing the Way for Change'

A CIA assessment on the likely political and personnel outcomes of the Kuomintang's recent electoral victories.

January 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'The Political Succession on Taiwan: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA's Office of East Asian Analysis concludes that "Chiang Ching-kuo is likely to be succeeded by a collegial, technocratic leadership governing in a somewhat less authoritarian style. The immediate succession will be dominated by a collegium of older mainlanders and is expected to go smoothly. Differences within this group over internal or foreign policy issues are unlikely to trigger a major power struggle."

This document has been review and declassified by the Central Intelligence Agency on at least two separate occasions. The above version was approved for release on May 12, 2011. An alternative version, with different material withheld, was approved for release on January 20, 2010.

March 22, 1984

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan's Succession Politics and the Recent Kuomintang Plenum'

Analysts at the CIA explore Chiang Chiang-kuo's designation of Lee Teng-hui as Vice President and other political changes in Taiwan, as well as Beijing's reaction to those changes and the implications for the United States.

January 1984

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Political Evolution on Taiwan: Implications for the United States: An Intelligence Assessment'

Analysts at the CIA write that US support for Taiwan will remain important to the island's political stability and economic growth.

April 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan-United States: Addressing the Trade Imbalance: An Intelligence Assessment'

The CIA assesses that Taiwan's long-running trade surplus with the United States will continue, despite small efforts on Taipei's part.

March 4, 1985

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Taiwan: Thoughts on Chiang's [Chiang Yen-shih's] Removal'

The CIA evaluates the short-term and long-term implications of the removal of Chiang Yen-shih as KMT Secretary-General.

February 10, 1972

Central Intelligence Agency, Directorate of Intelligence, 'Intelligence Memorandum: Prospects for Stability on Taiwan'

A CIA memo on domestic politics in Taiwan, including the relationship between mainlanders and Taiwanese locals.

Pagination