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June 23, 1963

National Intelligence Estimate NIE 4-63, 'Likelihood and Consequences of a Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Systems'

This document was made possible with support from Carnegie Corporation of New York (CCNY)

This NIE comes to the general conclusions that “there will not be a widespread proliferation of nuclear weapons over the next 10 years” and discusses programs in various countries (Israel, China, Sweden, India, West Germany, Japan, etc.) This copy includes newly declassified references to the Israeli nuclear weapons program, including the conclusion that “the Israelis, unless deterred by outside pressure, will attempt to produce a nuclear weapon some time in the next several years.”



Document Information

Source

CIA Mandatory Review Release. Originally published in William Burr, eds., National Security Archive Electronic Briefing Book #155 (June 1, 2005).

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Original Uploaded Date

2012-12-13

Type

Intelligence Note Report

Language

Record ID

115992

Donors

Carnegie Corporation of New York (CCNY)